Photo credit: www.goldderby.com
This Oscar season has sparked interesting comparisons between human predictions and those generated by artificial intelligence systems, particularly platforms like Gemini and Meta. Interestingly, early misfires in predictions—such as the belief that Lady Gaga would secure a Best Actress nomination for Joker: Folie à Deux—have prompted curiosity regarding AI’s insights as the March 2 ceremony approaches. As we summarize the predictions from AI, the results yield some surprisingly aligned forecasts when compared to industry experts.
After its initial blunders, which could have stemmed from misinterpreting trends, AI predictions have stabilized, showing parallels with expert opinions. This raises a pertinent question: should professionals in the industry be anxious about being superseded by technology?
Here’s a closer look at the artificial intelligence forecasts for the major categories at the Oscars.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Picture:
1. Anora: “The film has generated considerable excitement among critics, noted for its riveting storytelling and exceptional direction. Its successful run in various precursor awards has only added to its credibility.”
2. Conclave
3. The Brutalist
4. Emilia Pérez
Gold Derby’s response: We concur with the top three picks of Anora, Conclave, and The Brutalist. However, we place Emilia Pérez lower on the list at sixth due to controversies surrounding Gascón. Other notable films competing for Best Picture include A Complete Unknown, Wicked, The Substance, I’m Still Here, Dune: Part Two, and Nickel Boys.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Director:
1. Sean Baker (Anora): “Baker’s direction in Anora has been highly praised for its authentic performances and stimulating narratives. His achievements at the Directors Guild Awards have bolstered his chances.”
2. Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
3. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez)
4. James Mangold (A Complete Unknown)
5. Coralie Fargeat (The Substance)
Gold Derby’s response: Following his win at the Directors Guild Award, Baker has gained traction in our predictions. However, Corbet’s victories at the Golden Globes and BAFTAs make him a competitor not to be dismissed.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Actress:
1. Demi Moore (The Substance): “Moore’s compelling performance has captured attention and acknowledges her fierce dedication to the role. She has excelled in numerous precursor awards.”
2. Mikey Madison (Anora)
3. Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez)
4. Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here)
5. Cynthia Erivo (Wicked)
Gold Derby’s response: Moore’s unexpected victory at the Golden Globes shifted the momentum of the season, further complemented by wins at the Critics Choice and SAG Awards. Madison, a former frontrunner, gained a BAFTA win, making the competition intriguing, especially with Torres, who hasn’t had nominations since her Golden Globe win. It’s worth noting the controversy surrounding Gascón following the resurfacing of her previous inflammatory social media comments, which might impact her standing despite her historic nomination as an openly transgender performer.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Actor:
1. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist): “Brody’s portrayal has been met with acclaim, marking him as a strong favorite in many circles. His role is recognized as remarkably impactful.”
2. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
3. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing)
4. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave)
5. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
Gold Derby’s response: Brody’s consistent wins throughout the season positioned him as the leading candidate. However, Chalamet’s surprise SAG Award win has invigorated the race as we inch closer to the ceremony.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress:
1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez): “Saldaña’s role has emerged as one of significant acclaim, with many viewing her as a co-lead rather than just a supporting actress. She has excelled in the precursor circuits.”
2. Ariana Grande (Wicked)
3. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave)
4. Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown)
5. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)
Gold Derby’s response: Saldaña’s undefeated streak in precursor awards marks her as a leading contender for the Oscar.
AI Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor:
1. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain): “Culkin’s performance is highly lauded, establishing him as a favorite across many platforms. He has maintained momentum with significant recognition across various awards.”
2. Yura Borisov (Anora)
3. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)
4. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist)
5. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice)
Gold Derby’s response: Culkin’s strong odds after sweeping numerous awards make him a major contender for victory.
As predictions solidify, the filmmaking community is abuzz with anticipation and speculation. Do you concur with the AI assessments, or is there a different perspective? Be sure to make your predictions ahead of the Oscar ceremony on Sunday night.
Source
www.goldderby.com