Photo credit: www.skysports.com
In anticipation of the Betfred St Leger, scheduled for 3.40pm this Saturday and broadcasted live on Sky Sports Racing, our Senior Form Analyst, Jamie Lynch, provides an overview of the confirmed runners in this historic race, recognized as the oldest Classic in the world. The St Leger holds significant importance, serving as a critical point within the racing calendar, not only marking the conclusion of one phase but also heralding the commencement of another in the journey of thoroughbred racing.
Despite previous editions facing criticism, with the last two renewals questioned for their caliber, the St Leger has historically been a platform for future champions. Notably, winners from the last two years have collectively claimed 10 Group race victories, including prestigious events like the Irish St Leger and the Dubai Gold Cup. A glance back at the dramatic 2017 edition highlights how it paved the way for multiple Group 1 winners, suggesting that this race still possesses the power to spotlight elite talents.
Aidan O’Brien continues to dominate the St Leger landscape, having trained a considerable portion of the field in recent years, underscoring his commitment to this event. However, the absence of a strong challenge from Godolphin might be less impactful due to an intriguing supplementary entry this year. Let’s delve into the key contenders set to compete.
Align the Stars
Jockey: J Fanning | Trainer: C Johnston
Although Align the Stars recently demonstrated form with a summer hat-trick that elevated his rating to 102, he still falls short of earlier St Leger participants like Sir Ron Priestly and Nayef Road. A disappointing performance in the Lonsdale Cup suggests he faces an uphill challenge against stronger competitors, especially with the formidable presence of Ballydoyle horses.
Deira Mile
Jockey: Jason Watson | Trainer: Owen Burrows
Deira Mile’s fourth place in the Derby raises questions regarding his true level. While some might argue his performance against top competitors like City Of Troy is indicative of St Leger caliber, the context of his placements suggests variance in quality. His soft ground performance in the August Stakes did little to clarify his prospects for this longer distance race.
Euphoric
Trainer: A P O’Brien
As a well-placed pacemaker, Euphoric’s potential role in the race is uncertain with a frontrunner like Grosvenor Square expected to take the lead.
Grosvenor Square
Trainer: A P O’Brien
Grosvenor Square’s aggressive racing style has solidified his reputation. His ability to lead the pack, as demonstrated by his decisive victories, poses a significant threat to his rivals. Historical precedence suggests that a front-runner can dictate race dynamics, complicating the efforts of competitors who must strategize around his speed.
Illinois
Trainer: A P O’Brien
Illinois holds a strong chance as he aligns with the profile of a typical St Leger winner. His pedigree and previous performances indicate he is more than capable of contending at this level, particularly considering his recent form and the fact that he faces stiff competition solely from Los Angeles in their mutual races.
Jan Brueghel
Trainer: A P O’Brien
Although Jan Brueghel remains unbeaten, his close finishes in Group races raise doubts about his ability to claim a victory in the St Leger, which traditionally favors more seasoned competitors.
Los Angeles
Trainer: A P O’Brien
Los Angeles has shown impressive progression this season, with performances that could position him as a favorite. Despite early season expectations, he appears to have shifted focus towards the Arc, diverting his efforts from the St Leger.
Sunway
Jockey: C Soumillon | Trainer: D Menuisier
Sunway, known for a pedigree that suggests less stamina, has defied expectations with his performances thus far. His ability to compete at a high level in prestigious races hints at an impressive potential for the St Leger distance.
Wild Waves
Jockey: D Tudhope | Trainer: A M Balding
While Andrew Balding has previously succeeded with long-shot entries, Wild Waves’ lower rating may limit his competitive edge in this elite field.
You Got to Me
Jockey: Hector Crouch | Trainer: R M Beckett
You Got to Me exemplifies resilience and potential, having evolved from a novice to a horse of significant merit in her recent outings. Her performance history and notable victories indicate she could be a dark horse in the race, even if her long-distance capabilities are somewhat untested.
Jamie Lynch’s Verdict
This year’s St Leger is set to be a competitive showdown not solely dominated by Aidan O’Brien, with contenders like the Irish Oaks winner and a strong entry in Sunway poised to make waves. The race promises excitement, especially if Grosvenor Square asserts his dominance early. Ultimately, Illinois seems to embody the ideal attributes of a St Leger champion, potentially making a significant impact on the race’s outcome.
Source
www.skysports.com