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Experts Warn of a Grim Future for NASA

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NASA’s Challenges: A Stark Future Unveiled in New Report

Aging infrastructure, limited funding, and a focus on immediate goals over long-term planning pose significant challenges for NASA, according to a comprehensive report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

Commissioned by Congress, the report highlights that numerous technological resources are in decline, including the Deep Space Network. This vital global telecommunications system, managed by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in La Cañada Flintridge, is struggling to keep pace with the agency’s expanding mission requirements.

Lead author Norman Augustine emphasized the critical decisions facing NASA, stating that increased funding is essential to sustain its operations, or the agency will need to prioritize certain missions over others. “For NASA, this is not a time for business as usual,” Augustine remarked, noting that many of the issues have accumulated over decades.

The study underscores a troubling trend: while society has grown increasingly reliant on advanced technology since NASA’s inception, federal financing for research and development has notably decreased. Adjusted for inflation, NASA’s budget has sharply declined from its historical highs during the Apollo program, remaining stagnant for many years. Currently, NASA’s budget constitutes about 0.1% of the total U.S. GDP—less than one-eighth of what it was during the mid-1960s.

Within the agency, funding for science and technology has stagnated as mission complexities and costs have escalated. Consequently, NASA centers are conducting only limited research into emerging technologies that were once at the forefront of the agency’s efforts.

“NASA is a strong organization today, but it has underfunded the future NASA,” Augustine stated. The report indicates that the JPL actively discussed these issues with personnel across various levels, revealing a collective concern regarding insufficient investment in future capabilities.

NASA Administrator Bill Nelson acknowledged the findings, affirming that the agency is committed to enhancing its infrastructure and workforce to meet future demands. “This report aligns with our current efforts to ensure we have the infrastructure, workforce, and technology that NASA needs for the decades ahead,” he stated.

Among the report’s findings is the fact that a staggering 83% of NASA’s facilities have surpassed their intended lifespans. Compounding this issue is a regulatory requirement that complicates repairs and improvements for requests exceeding $1 million—a threshold that has remained unchanged despite rising costs due to inflation, frustrating staff, particularly at JPL.

The Deep Space Network, which supports a range of scientific endeavors, serves as a key example of the agency’s struggles. Managed by JPL across three locations—Goldstone in California, Canberra in Australia, and Madrid—the network has seen its budget shrink from $250 million in 2010 to approximately $200 million today, all while demand has surged. During the Artemis I mission in late 2022, the network was forced to prioritize lunar mission communications, which significantly disrupted other scientific uses and incurred over $21 million in data transmission costs for the James Webb Space Telescope.

Infrastructure at the ground level is equally concerning, with roads and utility systems deteriorating and staffing levels critically low. Meeting necessary maintenance and staffing needs is estimated to require $45 million annually over the next decade, according to the report.

“This report is a wake-up call for NASA and political leaders,” said Casey Dreier, chief of space policy for the Planetary Society. He argued that the report quantifies longstanding issues that are now threatening NASA’s ambitious exploration and science initiatives. “We have a 20th-century infrastructure for a 21st-century space program,” Dreier stated, adding urgency to the need for reform and investment.

As the challenges mount, the necessity for decisive action to secure NASA’s future capabilities becomes increasingly critical.

Source
phys.org

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