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Currently, the Atlantic Ocean is experiencing a period of calm; however, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) anticipates a shift in conditions later this week.
The NHC has indicated that a “broad area of low pressure” is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea shortly, with potential for gradual development thereafter.
Forecasters predict that a tropical depression might take shape by the end of this week or during the weekend as the system transitions northward or northeastward across the southwestern and central areas of the Caribbean Sea.
According to Monday’s advisory, the NHC assesses the likelihood of this system developing further at 40 percent within the next week. The next storms in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season are anticipated to be named Patty and Rafael.
Storm Development: More potential storms as the historic hurricane season continues to unfold.
NHC Monitoring Two Tropical Systems in the Pacific Ocean
In addition to the Atlantic activity, the NHC reported it is monitoring an area of low pressure situated over 1,000 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula, which is currently generating “disorganized showers and thunderstorms.”
Forecasters noted that the environmental conditions are favorable for this system’s gradual development, with a tropical depression likely to emerge in the coming days as it progresses westward or west-northwestward across the western portion of the eastern Pacific.
The NHC has assigned a 60 percent chance of this system developing over the next week.
Moreover, the NHC mentioned the possibility of another low pressure system forming within one to two days, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Some slow development of this second system could occur as it moves slowly in a west-northwestward direction, carrying a 20 percent chance of formation over the next seven days.
Tracking Atlantic Storms
Source
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