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Qualcomm’s Dominance Slips as Major Players Seek Alternatives for 5G Modems

Photo credit: www.androidauthority.com

Shifts in Mobile Chip Partnerships: Apple and Google Move Beyond Qualcomm

Recent developments in the mobile technology landscape suggest significant shifts in partnerships among leading smartphone manufacturers. According to Android Authority, Google is reportedly opting for MediaTek’s T900 modem for its forthcoming Pixel 10 smartphone, distancing itself from its long-standing reliance on Qualcomm. Meanwhile, Apple appears to be preparing to phase out Qualcomm-based components in favor of custom modems, particularly in its upcoming iPhone SE 4 and potentially other products by 2025, with an ambitious goal of a complete transition away from Qualcomm by 2027.

These decisions could have far-reaching implications for Qualcomm, the largest supplier of 5G modem technology in the United States. The loss of Apple, which holds a substantial portion of the U.S. smartphone market share, may significantly impact Qualcomm’s revenues. Additionally, with its modems powering not only Apple’s iPhones but also Samsung’s flagship devices, Qualcomm’s current dominance in the 5G sector could be challenged.

Historically, Qualcomm has relied on its baseband technology, which played a pivotal role in the company’s growth. Despite its extensive product offerings in mobile, losing two key clients like Apple and Google raises concerns about its future stability in the 5G market. Moreover, Qualcomm must increasingly focus on its application processor sales within the Android ecosystem while navigating changing partnerships.

Apple’s motivation for developing its own modems is multifaceted. Significant expenditures over the years, including a $1 billion acquisition of Intel’s modem business in 2019, have not yet yielded the anticipated returns. The challenges of deviating from Qualcomm’s comprehensive patent framework have also complicated Apple’s efforts. Current projections indicate that Apple’s first in-house 5G modem may fall short of Qualcomm’s capabilities, especially given its lack of millimeter-wave support, which is crucial for the performance of networks like Verizon’s.

Nonetheless, Apple has been incurring substantial royalty fees to Qualcomm, with contracts extending until 2027. The tech giant may be pursuing negotiations for more favorable terms as it develops capabilities that it believes will surpass Qualcomm’s offerings in areas such as Specific Absorption Rate (SAR) limits, satellite support, and overall efficiency. However, achieving complete modem independence remains a distant goal at this stage.

Moreover, Apple’s in-house modem development could facilitate enhancements across its product line. The integration of 5G capabilities into devices such as MacBooks could bridge gaps with competitors, while new ventures like augmented reality applications may thrive on more robust connectivity options. The potential to innovate customizable connectivity across its range of devices aligns with Apple’s strategic push for deeper integration within its ecosystem.

On the other hand, Google’s latest choice reflects a search for a reliable and cost-effective alternative to Qualcomm, particularly following mixed experiences with Samsung’s Exynos modems. MediaTek’s reputation for affordability and power efficiency may align well with Google’s objectives. While definitive data on MediaTek’s upcoming T900 modem is limited, its existing T800 model is recognized for integrating power-efficient features and supporting diverse connectivity, making it an appealing option for Google. The financial implications of production costs also appear to significantly influence Google’s decision-making regarding its next-generation Tensor products.

As Apple and Google navigate these transitions, the broader impact on the mobile landscape is worth considering. Both companies are attempting to reduce their reliance on Qualcomm, presenting challenges for the latter as it seeks to maintain its market position. Qualcomm may still thrive through its diverse patent licensing agreements and expanding into new markets, such as automotive technologies, to offset losses in traditional modem sales.

Overall, the choices made by these tech giants could reshape the mobile industry, whether through enhanced product offerings or competitive pricing strategies. With ongoing advancements and evolving partnerships, the future of mobile technology is poised for significant change.

Source
www.androidauthority.com

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