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Strip Malls Could Be the Next Big Trend in Commercial Real Estate

Photo credit: www.businessinsider.com

Revival of Strip Malls: A Retail Renaissance in Commercial Real Estate

Investors are increasingly recognizing the potential value of strip malls as they experience a resurgence in interest. The combination of limited supply and a rise in local, in-person shopping has contributed to this renewed investment appeal. A notable commercial real estate investor referred to this trend as a “retail renaissance.”

Historically, strip malls faced significant challenges, particularly in the wake of the expansion of large retail chains, the growth of e-commerce, and the impact of the global pandemic. Many retailers pivoted towards developing large fulfillment centers while neglecting small neighborhood shopping venues.

However, recent reports, including insights from The Wall Street Journal, reveal a surprising turnaround. The market now shows a scarcity of accessible neighborhood shopping centers, leading to a rise in their valuation. This shift has drawn the attention of major investment firms.

One prominent player, Blackstone, made headlines in November by investing $4 billion to acquire Retail Opportunity Investments, which boasts a portfolio of approximately 90 shopping centers, predominantly featuring grocery stores as anchor tenants. Blackstone’s President, Jon Gray, expressed optimism about the commercial real estate landscape, suggesting that the extreme challenges previously faced are beginning to subside. He stated that opportunities within the sector are becoming increasingly visible.

Gray noted, “If you were an investor in real estate after the financial crisis, you would have made a lot of money. My guess is that the same potential exists for investors today.”

The boost in foot traffic driven by the resurgence of in-person shopping further supports the optimism surrounding these shopping centers. Recent data indicates that grocery store visits were 12% higher in the third quarter of 2024 compared to pre-pandemic levels in 2019. Additionally, local businesses such as coffee shops and salons continue to attract customers seeking real-world shopping experiences. The flexibility offered by contemporary work schedules facilitates more convenient shopping trips to nearby locations.

James Corl, leading the New York-based private real estate firm Cohen & Steers, characterized the investment landscape for open-air shopping centers as a “retail renaissance” in a blog post from September. Corl’s firm recently completed the acquisition of a fully leased outdoor shopping mall in San Mateo, California, for $127 million.

Corl stated, “Open-air shopping centers are the only major property type experiencing significant rental rate growth. We believe that the solid growth in earnings, paired with relatively high current yields, will enhance the investment performance of shopping centers for an extended period—something the broader market has yet to fully appreciate.”

Source
www.businessinsider.com

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