The Brutalist Leads BAFTA Race, but What About Anora?

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Following a surprising turn in the awards season where Anora triumphed over The Brutalist at the Critics Choice, Directors Guild, and Producers Guild awards, all eyes are now on the upcoming 78th annual BAFTA Awards. Predictions from Gold Derby suggest that The Brutalist is set to secure a significant number of accolades this weekend.

Both films are competing for the prestigious Best Film award alongside A Complete Unknown, Conclave, and Emilia Pérez.

The Brutalist has garnered a total of nine nominations at the BAFTAs and is favored to take home five awards, including Best Film, Best Director for Brady Corbet, Best Actor for Adrien Brody, along with accolades for Best Cinematography and Best Score. The film presents the poignant journey of a Holocaust survivor striving to fulfill the American Dream.

In contrast, Anora is predicted to secure wins for Best Original Screenplay, credited to Sean Baker, and Best Casting. The narrative follows Mikey Madison, who plays a Brooklyn sex worker facing drastic changes in her life after falling for the son of a Russian oligarch, signaling a blend of romance and social commentary.

Conclave leads this year’s nominations with twelve nods and is likely to take home three awards: Best British Film, Best Adapted Screenplay for Peter Straughan, and Best Film Editing. This film dives into the turmoil and scandals that arise in the Vatican following the pope’s death.

Streaming giant Netflix’s Emilia Pérez, which secured eleven nominations, is projected to win in the categories of Best Film Not in the English Language and Best Supporting Actress for Zoe Saldaña. It is worth noting that Best Actress nominee Karla Sofía Gascón will not attend the awards due to the resurfacing of controversial social media posts and her unsuccessful attempts at an apology.

Other films anticipated to secure multiple awards include The Substance (nominated for Best Actress for Demi Moore and Best Makeup & Hair), Wicked (nominated for Best Costume Design and Best Production Design), and Dune: Part Two (contending for Best Sound and Best Visual Effects). Furthermore, Kieran Culkin from A Real Pain is a strong contender for Best Supporting Actor.

Gold Derby aggregates forecasts based on insights from industry experts and user predictions, with over 2,200 participants weighing in on their picks. For those interested, Gold Derby’s predictions span all 23 BAFTA categories, highlighting expected winners marked in gold.

The BAFTA ceremony in 2025 will be accessible for streaming on BritBox in the United States on Sunday at 11 a.m. PT. Below are the predictions for major categories:

BEST FILM

1. The Brutalist — 9/4
2. Conclave — 11/4
3. Anora — 4/1
4. Emilia Pérez — 7/1
5. A Complete Unknown — 8/1

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist — 16/5
2. Edward Berger, Conclave — 4/1
3. Sean Baker, Anora — 9/2
4. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez — 6/1
5. Coralie Fargeat, The Substance — 7/1
6. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two — 17/2

BEST ACTRESS

1. Demi Moore, The Substance — 16/5
2. Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths — 4/1
3. Mikey Madison, Anora — 4/1
4. Cynthia Erivo, Wicked — 11/2
5. Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez — 15/2
6. Saoirse Ronan, The Outrun — 17/2

BEST ACTOR

1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist — 16/5
2. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave — 39/10
3. Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown — 4/1
4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing — 13/2
5. Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice — 7/1
6. Hugh Grant, Heretic — 17/2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez — 31/10
2. Ariana Grande, Wicked — 4/1
3. Isabella Rossellini, Conclave — 9/2
4. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist — 11/2
5. Jamie Lee Curtis, The Last Showgirl — 8/1
6. Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez — 9/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain — 3/1
2. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist — 4/1
3. Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown — 5/1
4. Yura Borisov, Anora — 11/2
5. Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice — 13/2
6. Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing — 9/1

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Anora — 8/5
2. The Substance — 9/2
3. A Real Pain — 5/1
4. The Brutalist — 11/2
5. Kneecap — 17/2

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Conclave — 7/5
2. A Complete Unknown — 5/1
3. Emilia Pérez — 5/1
4. Sing Sing — 13/2
5. Nickel Boys — 15/2

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Brutalist — 83/50
2. Nosferatu — 4/1
3. Conclave — 9/2
4. Dune: Part Two — 11/2
5. Emilia Pérez — 9/1

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Wicked — 29/20
2. Nosferatu — 4/1
3. Conclave — 9/2
4. Blitz — 8/1
5. A Complete Unknown — 8/1

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Conclave — 9/5
2. Dune: Part Two — 4/1
3. Anora — 5/1
4. Emilia Pérez — 11/2
5. Kneecap — 13/2

BEST MAKEUP & HAIR

1. The Substance — 29/20
2. Wicked — 9/2
3. Nosferatu — 9/2
4. Dune: Part Two — 15/2
5. Emilia Pérez — 9/1

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Wicked — 31/20
2. The Brutalist — 4/1
3. Conclave — 5/1
4. Nosferatu — 13/2
5. Dune: Part Two — 8/1

BEST SCORE

1. The Brutalist — 7/4
2. Conclave — 10/3
3. Emilia Pérez — 11/2
4. The Wild Robot — 13/2
5. Nosferatu — 8/1

BEST SOUND

1. Dune: Part Two — 17/10
2. Wicked — 17/5
3. The Substance — 5/1
4. Gladiator II — 7/1
5. Blitz — 8/1

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Dune: Part Two — 3/2
2. Better Man — 9/2
3. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes — 9/2
4. Wicked — 7/1
5. Gladiator II — 17/2

BEST CASTING

1. Anora — 23/10
2. A Complete Unknown — 37/10
3. Conclave — 4/1
4. Kneecap — 5/1
5. The Apprentice — 15/2

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Flow — 19/10
2. The Wild Robot — 49/20
3. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 37/10
4. Inside Out 2 — 11/2

BEST CHILDREN’S AND FAMILY FILM

1. The Wild Robot — 39/20
2. Flow — 5/2
3. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 82/25
4. Kensuke’s Kingdom — 6/1

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. No Other Land — 29/20
2. Black Box Diaries — 4/1
3. Daughters — 11/2
4. Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story — 6/1
5. Will & Harper — 17/2

BEST FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

1. Emilia Pérez — 2/1
2. I’m Still Here — 82/25
3. Kneecap — 5/1
4. All We Imagine as Light — 5/1
5. The Seed of the Sacred Fig — 17/2

BEST BRITISH FILM

1. Conclave — 4/1
2. Kneecap — 7/1
3. Hard Truths — 15/2
4. Blitz — 17/2
5. The Outrun — 10/1
6. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 11/1
7. Gladiator II — 11/1
8. Lee — 13/1
9. Bird — 15/1
10. Love Lies Bleeding — 18/1

RISING STAR

1. Mikey Madison — 41/20
2. Marisa Abela — 82/25
3. David Jonsson — 4/1
4. Jharrel Jerome — 13/2
5. Nabhaan Rizwan — 15/2

Source
www.goldderby.com