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The Threat Posed by Hidden Lakes to the Stability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Photo credit: www.esa.int

Satellite Insights into Antarctic Ice Dynamics

For many years, satellites have been essential for monitoring the polar regions, providing vital information as the Antarctic ice continues to diminish, a consequence of climate change that has become increasingly apparent. Recent research has revealed that these satellites do more than merely track the retreat of glaciers and assess ice thickness; they can also provide insights into the impact of subglacial lakes, which are enormous water reservoirs concealed beneath the ice. These lakes have the potential to drain into the ocean in sudden and dramatic events, significantly influencing ice loss.

The European Space Agency’s CryoSat mission carries a specialized radar altimeter that measures variations in the elevation of ice. This includes floating ice in the ocean—such as sea ice, icebergs, and ice shelves—as well as terrestrial ice like glaciers and ice sheets. Such measurements not only reveal the changes in ice thickness due to thawing and melting but also track surface elevation fluctuations that indicate hydrological activities occurring beneath the ice, including subglacial lake drainage.

Impact of Subglacial Lakes on Ice Stability

In 2013, a remarkable event occurred when seven subglacial lakes located over 2 kilometers beneath Thwaites Glacier drained simultaneously, releasing approximately 7 cubic kilometers of freshwater into the Amundsen Sea. To put this in perspective, this volume is comparable to that of Loch Ness in Scotland. Following this drainage, researchers noted a doubling in the melt rates of the Thwaites ice shelves, coupled with significant thinning of the ice. Additionally, a polynya—an area of open water surrounded by sea ice—emerged in front of the glacier, indicating substantial upwelling of warmer water that correlated with the drainage events.

As a result of the drainage event, the inland ice sheet showed signs of thinning and acceleration, leading to the retreat of the grounding line, the point where a glacier transitions into a floating ice shelf. The melting and diminishing of ice shelves are of particular concern as they serve as critical supports for the ice sheets. When ice shelves weaken and grounding lines recede, the ice sheet becomes increasingly unstable, potentially accelerating its flow toward the ocean.

The latest research published in Nature Communications underscores the sensitivity of the Antarctic ice sheet to the dynamics of subglacial lakes and their intricate relationships with ocean conditions. The Thwaites Glacier region, particularly affected by warm ocean currents flowing beneath the ice shelves, experiences intensified melting from below as ice shelves thin out. This process exacerbates glacier acceleration, contributing to higher rates of ice loss and consequently raising sea levels. Furthermore, the underlying bedrock’s topography worsens the situation, as it deepens inland, fostering a scenario where initial melting can lead to an even greater loss of ice over time.

Understanding the Importance of Subglacial Hydrology

Noel Gourmelen, the lead author of the study from the University of Edinburgh, explained the existence of an intricate network of lakes underneath Thwaites Glacier, largely unknown until the last decade. While several similar lakes exist across the Antarctic Ice Sheet, the frequency and impact of their drainage on ice sheet stability are still under investigation. Gourmelen pointed out that the freshwater, being less dense than the salty ocean water, caused significant turbulence when it drained, facilitating an upwelling of warm ocean water that further accelerated melting at the base of the Thwaites Ice Shelf.

This remarkable scenario occurred in a region critical for controlling the inflow of ice from inland areas and the stabilizing effects of the ice shelf. As the ice shelf continued to thin and melt, its capacity to restrain the inland ice diminished, subsequently hastening the ice flow into the ocean.

The Future of Antarctic Research

This extraordinary drainage event illustrates the pivotal role that subglacial hydrology plays in driving glacier retreat and ocean melting in Antarctica, challenging existing models of grounding zone processes. The study combined data from CryoSat and computer simulations of glacier flow and ocean currents through the ESA’s FutureEO Science for Society 4D Antarctica project. Mark Drinkwater, head of ESA’s Earth and Mission Sciences Division, emphasized that over the past 15 years, CryoSat has provided crucial data revealing significant insights about polar ecosystems and the dynamics of glaciers worldwide.

Looking ahead, the ongoing collection of such data not only allows scientists to monitor changes but also to understand the underlying mechanisms responsible for these alterations and their broader implications for Earth’s climate system. ESA is in the process of developing new satellite missions designed to extend the insights gained from CryoSat, focusing on polar ice dynamics and beyond. Upcoming missions, such as Copernicus CRISTAL, ROSE-L, and CIMR, aim to deliver enhanced observations that will further dissect the complexities of Antarctic ice interaction with oceanic processes and help quantify the potential future impacts of climate change on ice stability and sea-level rise.

Source
www.esa.int

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