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Trump Tariffs May Jeopardize Hollywood Productions and Box Office Comeback

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The Hollywood sign in Los Angeles on Jan. 22, 2024

LOS ANGELES — A trade conflict has emerged as President Donald Trump has initiated a series of import tariffs that impact Canada, a key partner for the film and television industry.

Canada, often referred to as Hollywood North, has served as a major production center for American entertainment for many years. The country not only provides a favorable tax incentive for U.S. studios but also boasts a skilled workforce, encompassing both on-screen talent and crew members.

However, Trump’s new tariffs on imports from Canada raise concerns among Hollywood professionals, who fear that this could jeopardize the collaboration between the two entities, as noted by industry insiders speaking to CNBC.

There are apprehensions that retaliatory measures from Canada might emerge as a counter to the U.S. tariffs, potentially impacting film production negatively by revoking tax incentives or limiting access to studios for American filmmakers. Conversely, some industry experts believe the established rapport and financial benefits of U.S.-Canada cooperation in film are resilient enough to endure these trade tensions.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau expressed his position on social media, noting that “no one – on either side of the border – wants to see American tariffs on Canadian goods,” and assured that Canada would respond promptly and decisively.

In a recent announcement, Trump declared a 25% tariff on a wide range of goods from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% duty on imports from China. In turn, Trudeau indicated immediate countermeasures against American commodities, emphasizing that Canada’s response would be extensive.

Industry insiders are concerned that these tariffs could heavily impact film budgets, particularly for productions reliant on imported materials, such as specialized textiles and construction items. Yet, the majority of production materials are usually sourced locally, and large-scale operations tend to procure supplies from nearby rather than importing them from Canada.

For example, it is uncommon for a production in Los Angeles to utilize Canadian lumber. Similarly, productions filmed abroad generally utilize locally sourced resources or procure materials from the U.S. The potential price increase for items such as food and catering services might be marginal, but it is not expected to drastically influence overall budgets.

Moreover, many expenses related to filmmaking—like equipment and gear—are typically rented rather than purchased, which can provide some insulation from potential price increases due to tariffs.

Impact on Consumers

Despite this, there are growing worries that rising tariffs across various sectors could hit consumers in the wallet, which might subsequently dampen box office revenues.

Businesses that import goods from the affected countries are anticipated to pass along increased costs to consumers, potentially raising prices on hundreds of everyday products. Concerns have been voiced by members of the film industry, who predict that financial strain on consumers could lead to reductions in discretionary spending, including trips to the cinema.

Hollywood is already in the midst of recovery after facing challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic and a series of labor strikes. Should studios succeed in ramping up theatrical releases, there remains hesitancy about whether audiences will have the extra funds necessary to enjoy new releases.

If consumer spending is indeed curtailed, the ramifications could resonate throughout the industry.

Ultimately, experts suggest that while Hollywood may adapt to the consequences posed by Trump’s tariffs, it may face significant hurdles if there’s a decline in consumer expenditure.

Fans are hopeful that major blockbuster releases slated for 2025 will sufficiently drive ticket sales and rejuvenate audiences in theaters.

Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO

Source
www.cnbc.com

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