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What Ukraine Can Anticipate from North Korean Special Forces in Combat

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North Korean Troops Set to Join Russian Forces in Ukraine, Heightening Tensions

Ukraine has raised alarms over a potential escalation in the ongoing war, as reports indicate that a significant contingent of elite North Korean troops is expected to arrive on the frontline in support of Russia within days.

President Volodymyr Zelensky and South Korean intelligence sources estimate that approximately 10,000 soldiers from North Korea are preparing to bolster Moscow’s military efforts in Ukraine. This alarming development comes amid ongoing hostilities and has drawn immediate concern from Ukrainian authorities.

Footage released recently portrays North Korean forces arriving at military installations in Russia’s far eastern regions, where they have been seen acquiring military supplies while waiting in long lines. Reports also suggest that around 1,500 special forces personnel have been redeployed to Vladivostok, with additional deployments anticipated shortly.

Kyrlo Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s military intelligence, indicated that around 2,600 North Korean troops are projected to be engaged in operations in the Kursk region by the start of November.

North Korea’s Special Operations Forces (SOF) represent a highly secretive and disciplined unit, characterized by their loyalty and training. However, they are often considered to be less equipped than their Western counterparts, lacking advanced military technology.

The NIS (National Intelligence Service) of South Korea has suggested that the North Korean personnel headed to Vladivostok have been outfitted with Russian military uniforms, weapons, and counterfeit identification documents. This strategy appears aimed at masking their origins as North Korean troops after they undergo necessary acclimatization training.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiga has categorized the enlistment of North Korean troops by Russia as a substantial risk of further escalation in the conflict, a sentiment echoed across various Ukrainian defense forums.

The motivations and roles that these non-Russian speaking special forces will play in the eastern front remain ambiguous, particularly as the battlefield dynamics evolve into protracted engagements instead of covert operations which they are traditionally associated with.

The developments have provoked commentary from U.S. officials, with Mike Turner, a Republican congressman, expressing concerns regarding the lack of information from the Biden administration regarding North Korean troop movements. Turner officially requested further briefings on the implications of this military collaboration.

Established around 1968, North Korea’s SOF is perhaps most infamously associated with a failed raid on South Korea’s Blue House, which resulted in significant casualties among its operatives. Comparatively, while other countries boast specialized units like the British SAS or the U.S. Delta Force, little is genuinely known about the North Korean SOF’s operational capabilities and successes.

Analysts have characterized these special forces as well-trained but hampered by rudimentary equipment. Reports indicate that while they consist of a large number of personnel, their operational effectiveness falls short when matched with more sophisticated international forces.

Experts like Maxwell Goldstein from Grey Dynamics emphasize that the North Korean SOF is structured for essential yet high-risk missions, consisting of specialized units across various branches of the military. However, the tactical roles they might be expected to undertake in Ukraine are under scrutiny, particularly in a fierce conflict landscape where survival may often overshadow stealthy operations.

Prof. Hazel Smith of SOAS University has cautioned against taking South Korean intelligence claims at face value, citing past inaccuracies. She underscores that any deployment would likely consist of “special operations soldiers” since regular conscripts pose a risk of defection.

In light of these tensions, analysts from the RAND Corporation have called for strategic information campaigns aimed at persuading North Korean soldiers sent to Russia to defect to the West, especially in the wake of recent reports surrounding casualties among North Korean personnel in occupied Ukrainian territories.

China’s influence also remains pivotal in this scenario. Ian Garner, a historian who studies the interplay between China and North Korea, has stated that the Chinese government may not be inclined to support North Korean troop deployments to Ukraine given the delicate balance of their own geopolitical interests.

As the situation unfolds, the potential integration of North Korean troops into the Russian military apparatus adds a notable twist to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, with far-reaching implications for both regional stability and international relations.

Source
www.yahoo.com

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