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Why Trump Represents an Unpredictable Variable for Big Tech Antitrust Matters

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Antitrust Policy and Big Tech: A New Era on the Horizon

The current discourse on antitrust policy, particularly in the technology sector, finds itself at a pivotal junction, especially with the anticipated changes expected from the second Trump administration.

In recent years, antitrust discussions have seen fluctuating momentum, reflecting shifting political winds. With Trump’s administration returning, the discourse is poised for another significant pivot. To explore the potential impacts and implications, antitrust reporter Leah Nylen from Bloomberg joined a recent episode of Decoder to help unpack this complex landscape.

Historically, U.S. antitrust laws have remained largely unchanged since the Reagan era, continuing through the administrations of Obama and Trump. However, under President Biden, the approach has shifted notably, with leaders such as FTC Chair Lina Khan and DOJ antitrust head Jonathan Kanter adopting a more confrontational stance toward antitrust enforcement. This has resulted in significant scrutiny facing tech giants like Amazon, Apple, and Meta, while Microsoft has also come under investigation.

A significant driver of this regulatory scrutiny has been the desire to address what many refer to as the “Instagram problem”. This term highlights a missed opportunity in 2012 when Facebook acquired Instagram, a move that effectively eliminated a potential competitor. Such retrospective analysis has spurred current regulators to reconsider how future acquisitions might affect competition.

Throughout the 2010s, rapid consolidation in the tech sector occurred as large companies frequently absorbed nascent startups to quell any competitive threats. This tendency fostered a landscape fraught with regulatory concerns, prompting the Biden administration to actively seek ways to stem this tide of consolidation. Attempts have even been made to sidestep traditional acquisition routes, as illustrated by Microsoft hiring much of Inflection AI rather than pursuing an outright acquisition.

As Trump’s second administration looms, his selections to lead antitrust efforts at the FTC and DOJ could signal an abrupt shift in enforcement strategies. Andrew Ferguson, Trump’s FTC nominee, has indicated intentions to roll back Khan’s initiatives, while Gail Slater, appointed to the antitrust division, brings a history suggesting a continuation of aggressive antitrust action.

This new administration’s stance creates an interesting paradox: while there may be a willingness to let corporations grow larger, there is also potential support for critical measures against firms like Google, motivated less by conventional antitrust concerns and more by issues surrounding content moderation and political discourse.

As the landscape evolves, many questions remain unanswered. Tech companies may hope for a relaxation of enforcement standards, while simultaneously, they might have to prepare for unexpected bipartisan efforts aimed at regulating their actions in the wake of changing administrations.

For those interested in delving deeper into these discussions, several resources provide further insight:

Trump’s antitrust trio heralds Big Tech crackdown to continue | Bloomberg
Trump picks FTC Commissioner Andrew Ferguson to lead the agency | Politico
Trump picks Gail Slater to head Justice Department’s antitrust division | Reuters

Decoder with Nilay Patel /

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